Afford Anything

Category: FIRE

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#568: Q&A: Why Smart Investors Are Questioning VTSAX and Chill

Jason is confused by the recent discussions about the efficient frontier and Paul Merriman’s four-sector strategy. It seems a lot like another form of stock-picking. What’s the difference?

Michelle straddles the Roth income threshold and is frustrated that she never knows if she’ll qualify for a Roth contribution until tax season. Is her current savings plan too complicated?

Evan has $100 to spend on personal finance books for his high school’s library. What books would Paula and Joe put on this limited shelf space?

Former financial planner Joe Saul-Sehy and I tackle these three questions in today’s episode.

Enjoy!

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#567: Lessons from High-Stakes Decisions, with Polina Marinova Pompliano

What happens when an astronaut goes blind during a spacewalk?

For Chris Hadfield, this wasn’t a hypothetical scenario. While working outside the International Space Station, cleaning solution from his helmet visor spread into both eyes, leaving him completely blind in the vacuum of space.

His response? Stay calm and methodically evaluate options. He could call Houston. He could have a crew member rescue him. He could try to cry to flush out his eyes – though that’s tricky in zero gravity.

This story opens our conversation with Polina Marinova Pompliano, former Fortune Magazine reporter and author of the new book “Hidden Genius.”

Through her interviews with high-performers across fields — from astronauts to investors to extreme athletes — she uncovers patterns in how people handle uncertainty and build resilience.

Take trust, for example. Reid Hoffman’s formula is simple: Trust = Consistency + Time.

It’s not enough to show up sporadically when it’s convenient. Trust builds through meeting deadlines, following through on commitments, and maintaining clear communication — even during challenges.

Reliable consistency compounds over time, much like interest in an investment account.

Or consider Charlie Munger’s approach to beliefs. Rather than defending positions “to the death,” he argues you should only claim to believe something if you can argue the opposition’s viewpoint better than they can. This forces you to genuinely understand different perspectives rather than just reflexively disagreeing.

The conversation explores how people navigate major setbacks, from Conrad Anker surviving an avalanche that killed his climbing partners to Polina’s own experience of quitting Fortune magazine right before COVID hit. A key theme emerges: resilience isn’t about avoiding difficulty, but about training yourself to handle it through small daily practices.

Former Navy SEAL David Goggins calls this “callusing the mind.” By deliberately doing one uncomfortable thing each day – whether that’s running in the rain or having a difficult conversation – you build your capacity to handle larger challenges. The goal isn’t to become superhuman, but to expand your comfort zone step by step.

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#566: Q&A: Breaking Up with Total Market Funds After 10 Years

Jackie is sold on Paul Merriman’s “Four Funds” approach, but she’s overwhelmed by the logistics of diversifying her single fund portfolio.. What are the best practices to redistribute her investments, handle taxes, and manage rebalancing?

Heidi’s mother recently passed and she’s struggling to decide between distribution options, their tax implications, and investment options for the […]

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#563: What the Crypto Shift Means for Your Money, with Tatiana Koffman

Bitcoin is hitting new all-time highs. Is this just another bull cycle, or are we witnessing a fundamental shift in how the world thinks about money?

That’s the question at the heart of our conversation with Tatiana Koffman, General Partner at Moonwalker Capital and author of “The Myth of Money.”

Koffman joins us to explain why Bitcoin might be considered “digital property” rather than just a currency. She breaks down how Bitcoin derives its value from mathematical scarcity – similar to how gold becomes harder to mine over time, Bitcoin becomes more difficult and expensive to create every four years through events called “halvings.”

The conversation moves through several key developments in cryptocurrency. We discuss the recent approval of Bitcoin ETFs and how traditional financial institutions like JPMorgan Chase (whose CEO Jamie Dimon once openly criticized crypto) are now embracing these products. Koffman shares insights about crypto adoption worldwide, from El Salvador’s experiment with Bitcoin as legal tender to Dubai’s emergence as a crypto hub.

When discussing Africa’s cryptocurrency landscape, Koffman explains how Nigeria’s unstable banking system has driven crypto adoption, with many young people using decentralized exchanges to participate in global markets. She describes how some Nigerians have built significant wealth starting from nothing, using “airdrops” (free tokens given to early adopters) to begin trading.

The interview includes a debate about inflation rates and economic data reporting, with Koffman expressing skepticism about official figures, while I push back on claims made without supporting evidence.

Koffman also explains different categories of crypto investments, distinguishing between Bitcoin as a potential store of value and what she calls “meme coins” – speculative assets she compares to gambling. She provides context about stable coins, particularly USDC and Tether, and their role during the Silicon Valley Bank collapse.

For those interested in investing in cryptocurrency, Koffman suggests starting with exposure to Bitcoin through regulated platforms like Coinbase or ETFs, while emphasizing the importance of proper security measures. She explains concepts like “cold wallets” and “seed phrases,” comparing them to different levels of bank security.

Looking ahead, Koffman discusses cryptocurrency’s potential role in reducing dependence on the U.S. dollar, particularly in developing economies, while acknowledging the challenges of creating stable alternative currencies.

Find Koffman’s weekly newsletter at mythofmoney.com or follow her on Twitter and Instagram @TatianaKoffman.

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#561: Q&A: Why Your Retirement Math Isn’t Adding Up

Joanne is confident that her short and long-term financial plans are set, but she’s not certain about the medium-term. What’s the proper way to allocate money for different time horizons?

Jessie is intrigued by Paul Merriman’s simple portfolio recommendations but wonders about his lean away from growth stocks. Are value funds generally better for everyday investors?

Nancy is worried she’ll miscalculate her financial independence number because her net worth includes pre and post-tax money, plus liquid and illiquid investments. What’s the right approach? 

Former financial planner Joe Saul-Sehy and I tackle these three questions in today’s episode.

Enjoy!

P.S. Got a question? Leave it here.

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#560: The Father of the 4% Rule Finally Sets the Record Straight

Bill Bengen, the former rocket scientist who discovered the “4 percent rule” of retirement planning, joins us at the Bogleheads conference in Minnesota.

Bengen clarifies that calling it a “rule” is misleading since it doesn’t fit everyone’s situation. The 4 percent figure came from studying the worst-case scenario since 1926, when someone who retired in 1968 could only safely withdraw 4.2 percent annually. Out of 400+ retirees in his database, that was the only one who had such a low safe withdrawal rate — most could take out much more.

Recent research has pushed the “safe” withdrawal rate closer to 5 percent. But Bengen identifies eight key factors that affect how much you can withdraw, including how long you’ll be retired and whether you’re drawing from taxable or tax-deferred accounts.

For early retirees planning for 50-60 years, Bengen says the safe withdrawal rate asymptotically approaches 4.2 percent — meaning even with an infinite time horizon, it won’t drop below that. He thinks the common advice to use 3 percent for early retirement is unnecessarily conservative.

Bengen shares what he calls the “four free lunches” in retirement planning:
1. Using an equity glide path (reducing stocks at retirement, then increasing later)
2. Diversification across asset classes
3. Regular portfolio rebalancing
4. Slightly overweighting higher-returning assets like small-cap stocks

When it comes to market drops versus inflation, Bengen has clear advice: Don’t panic during bear markets — they typically recover. But if you hit extended high inflation early in retirement, it’s time to “head for the bunkers” and cut expenses drastically.

Beyond finance, Bengen shares his excitement about space exploration as a former rocket scientist who graduated from MIT just months before the moon landing. He hopes to live long enough to see humans reach Mars and believes space tourism helps people appreciate Earth’s beauty and fragility.

The interview ends with a light-hearted discussion about whether Pluto should still be considered a planet (Bengen still calls it one, out of habit) and speculation about future tourism to Saturn’s moon Titan once the sun’s expansion makes it warmer in a few hundred million years.

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What Happens When Retirement Saving Becomes an Identity?

You’ve spent decades being the responsible one. The disciplined saver. The person who maxes out their 401k, lives below their means, and actually understands what “tax-loss harvesting” means.

Then your financial planner looks you in the eye and says: “You’re not going to be able to spend what I think you can spend […]

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#559: Q&A: Should We Ditch Rental Properties Entirely?

An anonymous caller, whom we name “Samantha,” and her husband are financially strained and feeling torn. Shortly after purchasing two rental properties, their income dropped dramatically. Should they sell?

Tina is a full-time environmentalist. She’s worried that her index funds don’t align with her values on sustainability. Is there a world where she can be a savvy investor and fight climate change?

Another anonymous caller, whom we name “Sarah,” is excited and uncertain about her growing business. Should she hold steady or invest more resources into it? And how does she know if she’s making the right call?

Former financial planner Joe Saul-Sehy and I tackle these three questions in today’s episode.

Enjoy!

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