Afford Anything

Tag: retirement planning

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#583: Q&A: Everyone Is Arguing About Roth IRAs And We Have Thoughts

Contrary to recent discussions, Jesse has concluded that a traditional IRA is the smarter way to go for most people once marginal tax rates are factored in. Is he missing something?  

An anonymous caller is four years away from early retirement but she’s unsure if her portfolio allocations are in the right place. How and when should she start converting equities to cash?

Luz is confused about how to handle company stock options. Is there an ideal spread between the exercise price and the stock price? And, what should she do once the stocks are exercised?

Former financial planner Joe Saul-Sehy and I tackle these three questions in today’s episode.

Enjoy!

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#560: The Father of the 4% Rule Finally Sets the Record Straight

Bill Bengen, the former rocket scientist who discovered the “4 percent rule” of retirement planning, joins us at the Bogleheads conference in Minnesota.

Bengen clarifies that calling it a “rule” is misleading since it doesn’t fit everyone’s situation. The 4 percent figure came from studying the worst-case scenario since 1926, when someone who retired in 1968 could only safely withdraw 4.2 percent annually. Out of 400+ retirees in his database, that was the only one who had such a low safe withdrawal rate — most could take out much more.

Recent research has pushed the “safe” withdrawal rate closer to 5 percent. But Bengen identifies eight key factors that affect how much you can withdraw, including how long you’ll be retired and whether you’re drawing from taxable or tax-deferred accounts.

For early retirees planning for 50-60 years, Bengen says the safe withdrawal rate asymptotically approaches 4.2 percent — meaning even with an infinite time horizon, it won’t drop below that. He thinks the common advice to use 3 percent for early retirement is unnecessarily conservative.

Bengen shares what he calls the “four free lunches” in retirement planning:
1. Using an equity glide path (reducing stocks at retirement, then increasing later)
2. Diversification across asset classes
3. Regular portfolio rebalancing
4. Slightly overweighting higher-returning assets like small-cap stocks

When it comes to market drops versus inflation, Bengen has clear advice: Don’t panic during bear markets — they typically recover. But if you hit extended high inflation early in retirement, it’s time to “head for the bunkers” and cut expenses drastically.

Beyond finance, Bengen shares his excitement about space exploration as a former rocket scientist who graduated from MIT just months before the moon landing. He hopes to live long enough to see humans reach Mars and believes space tourism helps people appreciate Earth’s beauty and fragility.

The interview ends with a light-hearted discussion about whether Pluto should still be considered a planet (Bengen still calls it one, out of habit) and speculation about future tourism to Saturn’s moon Titan once the sun’s expansion makes it warmer in a few hundred million years.

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#559: Q&A: Should We Ditch Rental Properties Entirely?

An anonymous caller, whom we name “Samantha,” and her husband are financially strained and feeling torn. Shortly after purchasing two rental properties, their income dropped dramatically. Should they sell?

Tina is a full-time environmentalist. She’s worried that her index funds don’t align with her values on sustainability. Is there a world where she can be a savvy investor and fight climate change?

Another anonymous caller, whom we name “Sarah,” is excited and uncertain about her growing business. Should she hold steady or invest more resources into it? And how does she know if she’s making the right call?

Former financial planner Joe Saul-Sehy and I tackle these three questions in today’s episode.

Enjoy!

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#549: Am I Wrong to Worry About Retirement, with $2 Million Saved?

Steven is stuck on the question of financial stability. How do you know if you have it? Is there an objective answer based on net worth? Or is it a calculation relative to your income and age?

Jack isn’t sure how to factor his house into his net worth. It’s an asset, but he has a mortgage against it, and there are transaction costs associated with selling it. How should he frame it?

Patricia and her husband are debt-free with a $2.2 million net worth, but she’s constantly stressed about their finances. Are her concerns valid? Or is she a financial hypochondriac?

Former financial planner Joe Saul-Sehy and I tackle these three questions in today’s episode.

Enjoy!

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#548: Is Your Retirement Safe in Today’s Economy?, with Dr. Karsten Jeske (Big ERN)

Economist Dr. Karsten Jeske talks with us about the current economic landscape. Karsten, who retired at 44, breaks down the Fed’s recent decisions and how they might affect our finances.

He explains how markets often anticipate interest rate changes before they happen. Karsten challenges traditional views on inflation and unemployment, telling us that textbook models don’t always match reality.

Karsten shares his personal investing experiences, covering both market highs and lows. He emphasizes the value of consistent investing regardless of market conditions.

For those eyeing retirement, Karsten dives into safe withdrawal rates. He advises paying close attention to current market valuations when planning. On the topic of mortgages, he offers clear guidance on when refinancing makes sense.

We also touch on economic history, discussing the Weimar Republic’s hyperinflation. Karsten uses this to critique modern monetary theory, expressing skepticism about unrestricted money printing.

Throughout our conversation, Karsten explains complex economic concepts in accessible terms. He draws on his background as both an academic and a Wall Street professional to provide well-rounded insights.

Karsten, also known as Big ERN, is the author of EarlyRetirementNow.com, where he writes about safe withdrawal rates and personal finance while enjoying his retirement.

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#533: Q&A: My Insurance Bill Jumped 60 Percent – Should I Drop It?!

Kristin is floored by the 60 percent increase in her homeowner’s insurance this year. Should she cancel the policy and self-insure instead?

Susana and her husband are torn. They bought their dream home last year but now need to relocate indefinitely. What should they do with the house?

An anonymous caller wants to help his soon-to-be wife invest a five-figure gift she received in another country. How do they untangle the complexities of managing money from abroad?

Former financial planner Joe Saul-Sehy and I tackle these three questions in today’s episode.

Enjoy!

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#512: Don’t Let One Big Bill Blow Up Your Budget (Here’s How)

An anonymous caller who received a large inheritance feels paralyzed by all the investment philosophies he’s read about. How does he pick a winning strategy he can stick with?

Josh is an expectant dad looking to buy a bigger house but doesn’t know how much everything will cost. Should he save more or invest more?

Another anonymous caller worries that large expenditures like buying a new car or replacing her home’s roof will blow up her budget in retirement. How does she plan for unexpected expenses?

Former financial planner Joe Saul-Sehy and I tackle these three questions in today’s episode.

Enjoy!

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#496: The Pay Cut Price of Freedom

How much of a pay cut would you take for a lighter workload?

Paul, 35, is grappling with that question. Like many of us, Paul says he loves his job, but the hours are demanding. He would love to work less. But he didn’t think the opportunity would come so soon.

You see, Paul is a dedicated saver. He’s spent years trying to build financial independence. He’s amassed a net worth of $910,000, with no debt.

His ideal early retirement, which would be filled with travel and hobbies, requires more money. Besides, he enjoys his career.

That’s why Paul thought he’d work full-time for several more years. He felt happy with that plan.

But an interesting opportunity recently arose.

Paul’s workplace has offered him the chance to drop his hours – and his salary – by 25 percent. He’d love to work less. But the salary cut is earlier than he’d planned.

Should he take it?

Today, we kick off the podcast episode with this question.

After that, we turn our attention to an anonymous caller. She and her husband want to retire at 55. They also want a bigger home, a better car, and to start growing their family. Can they afford it all?

Meanwhile, Tim spent his 20’s in medical school. He missed out on retirement savings during those years. He’s eager to catch up. What’s the shortest path to get there?

Finally, Matthew and his family dream of leaving Florida for the Pacific Northwest. Will they regret selling everything to start over?

Former financial planner Joe Saul-Sehy and I tackle these four questions in today’s episode.

Enjoy!

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